STRATEGIC INSIGHT

The 2026–2030 Strategic Pipeline: Navigating the $129B Infrastructure Allocation

Institutional frameworks and capital mobilization strategies for Vietnam's "New Era of National Rise"

January 202615 min read

Executive Summary

The transition of the Socialist Republic of Vietnam into the 2026–2030 development phase represents a significant shift in national strategy, characterized by the convergence of massive capital deployment and fundamental institutional reform. The "project bonanza" launched in December 2025, valued at approximately $129 billion or 3.4 quadrillion VND, serves as the economic cornerstone for the "New Era of National Rise" as articulated by the 14th National Party Congress.

This coordinated investment push, involving 234 strategic projects, was not merely a celebratory gesture for the political transition but a calculated move to institutionalize a high-growth model predicated on strategic self-reliance, digital transformation, and modern infrastructure.

Portfolio at a Glance

$129.1B
Total Investment
3.4 quadrillion VND
234
Strategic Projects
Across 34 provinces
18%
State Funding
$23.8B state capital
82%
Private Capital
$105B non-budgetary

The December 2025 Infrastructure Mobilization

The mobilization of 3.4 quadrillion VND on December 19, 2025, constitutes the largest simultaneous launch of infrastructure works in the nation's history. This event was meticulously timed to coincide with the 79th anniversary of National Resistance Day and the lead-up to the 14th National Party Congress in January 2026, signaling the government's capacity for large-scale execution.

The portfolio's significance lies not only in its scale but in its financial structure, which reflects a decisive shift toward non-budgetary funding and private sector participation.

Financial Composition

Investment ComponentVND TrillionUSD BillionShare
State Budget Funding62723.818%
Non-Budgetary Sources2,790105.382%
Total Portfolio Value3,417129.1100%

14th National Party Congress: The "New Era" Targets

The 14th National Party Congress, held from January 19-23, 2026, formalized the transition of Vietnam into a "New Era" of development. The resolution sets the most ambitious growth trajectory in the nation's post-Doi Moi history, aiming for an average annual GDP growth of at least 10% for the 2026–2030 period.

Average Annual GDP Growth
≥ 10%
Necessary to bridge development gap with ASEAN-4
GDP Per Capita (2030)
~$8,500 USD
Transitioning to upper-middle-income economy
Manufacturing Share of GDP
~28%
Focus on semiconductors, AI, special steel
Digital Economy Share
~30%
Driven by Data-Digital-Green growth model
TFP Contribution to Growth
> 55%
Shift toward productivity and innovation
Human Development Index
~0.8
Aligning economic success with social well-being

Legal Architecture: Key Resolutions & Directives

Directive No. 25/CT-TTg

August 8, 2024

The planning foundation for the 2026–2030 cycle, mandating all ministries and local governments to prepare medium-term public investment plans with emphasis on concentration, strategic focus, and private capital mobilization.

Resolution No. 253/2025/QH15

December 11, 2025

Energy transition framework providing specific mechanisms for national energy development, grid/storage investment flexibility, tariff deregulation, offshore wind frameworks, and regional empowerment.

Resolution No. 258/2025/QH15

December 12, 2025

Empowers Hanoi to implement pilot mechanisms for major projects, providing legal basis for the $35B Olympic Sports Urban Area and $32B Red River Landscape Boulevard.

Resolution No. 260/2025

2025

Special mechanisms and policies for Ho Chi Minh City, aimed at resolving infrastructure bottlenecks and accelerating transition into a regional financial hub.

Resolution No. 57-NQ/TW

2025

Policy mandate for digital transformation and data-led economy, targeting 30% digital economy share of GDP by 2030 with 500 trillion VND credit package for digital infrastructure.

Strategic Project Focus Areas

Transport & Connectivity

  • North-South High-Speed Railway ($67B, 1,541 km, 350 km/h design speed)
  • Lao Cai–Hanoi–Hai Phong Railway (northern border to port connectivity)
  • Metro Line 1 Phu Quoc (island tourism infrastructure)
  • Long Thanh International Airport Phase 1 (southern aviation hub)

Urban Development

  • Olympic Sports Urban Area, Hanoi ($35.1B, 9,171 hectares, 135,000-seat stadium)
  • Red River Landscape Boulevard ($32.4B, 80 km, underground metro integration)
  • Hanoi Olympic Sports City (global creative and sports capital positioning)

Industry & Energy

  • Hoa Phat Dung Quat Railway Steel ($380M, special steel and railway rails)
  • Van Don Mega-Tourism Complex (northern tourism gateway)
  • Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) under Resolution 253
  • Offshore Wind (OSW) frameworks for capable businesses

Social Infrastructure

  • Strategic hospitals (provincial healthcare capacity expansion)
  • Olympic-grade sports complexes (HDI improvement)
  • Vocational training centers (35-40% workforce qualification target)
  • High-speed rail construction jobs (180,000 positions)

Institutional Reforms & Investor Landscape

The 2026–2030 period is defined by a shift in how the Vietnamese state interacts with capital. The 14th Congress Resolution and supporting thematic resolutions emphasize a move from a "defensive" to an "offensive" approach to growth, with the private sector reaffirmed as "one of the most important driving forces" of the national economy.

Stock Market Upgrading

Transition from 'frontier' to 'emerging market' status by 2026

Administrative Simplification

30% reduction in procedures, one-stop investment portal by Feb 2026

Credit Deregulation

Market-based credit growth mechanism replacing administrative quotas

Corvus Positioning

Corvus has identified four priority assets within the 234-project portfolio that align with our proprietary sourcing capabilities and institutional-grade structuring expertise:

  • GridSync: Renewable energy integration aligned with Resolution 253 BESS frameworks
  • Hospital Development: Provincial healthcare infrastructure under social infrastructure mandate
  • Son Tra Yacht Terminal: Tourism infrastructure supporting Van Don mega-complex strategy
  • Digital Infrastructure: Data center and 5G network opportunities under Resolution 57

Our long-standing relationships with 34+ provincial authorities and established SOE co-development frameworks position us to secure off-market entries into these restricted sectors, providing institutional investors with proprietary access to Vietnam's highest-priority development cycle.